Federal Reserve Board Meeting

JUN

17

Event date

Tuesday 17 June 2025, UTC

Event description

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) sets U.S. monetary policy, deciding on interest rates and economic strategies. Scheduled for June 17-18, 2025, this meeting comes at a pivotal time for crypto, with Bitcoin hovering above $108,000 and the total market cap at $3.38T. Markets expect rates to stay steady at 4.25%-4.5%, with a 99.9% probability of no change, per the CME FedWatch Tool. A surprise rate cut could spark a Bitcoin rally toward $112,000, while a hawkish tone might trigger a dip. Trump’s tariff policies add uncertainty, as they could influence inflation and Fed decisions. Crypto’s sensitivity to macro events makes this a must-watch.

Recent News

The crypto market has been on a wild ride in 2025. Bitcoin surged past $109,000 in January, driven by institutional inflows and pro-crypto U.S. policies, but corrected in February due to exploits and meme coin crashes. Meanwhile, the Senate advanced a bipartisan stablecoin bill, backed by Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, which could boost dollar-pegged assets and U.S. debt demand. Trump’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, holding seized BTC and other tokens, signals growing government adoption. These developments, alongside the Fed’s $500B liquidity increase since February, have fueled bullish sentiment.

Future Plans & Market Context

Looking ahead, analysts predict Bitcoin could hit $150,000 in 2025 if pro-crypto policies like the stablecoin bill and Bitcoin reserve expand. The Fed’s next moves are critical: dovish signals could accelerate risk-on assets like crypto, while tighter policy might slow growth. Stablecoin issuers must hold dollar-for-dollar reserves, potentially impacting smaller banks but enabling larger ones to issue their own tokens. Crypto’s integration into mainstream finance is accelerating, with Democrats also warming to the industry.

Community Sentiment

On X, crypto traders are buzzing about the FOMC meeting. Sentiment is mixed: some expect a Bitcoin pump if Powell signals rate cuts, while others fear tariff-driven inflation could delay easing. Influencers like @CryptoAnalystX highlight $108K as a key support level. Stablecoin bill hype is strong, with users praising its potential to legitimize crypto. However, no clear consensus exists on the Fed’s next move, reflecting market uncertainty.

Why It Matters

The Fed’s decisions ripple across global markets, impacting crypto’s risk appetite. A steady-rate outcome could stabilize BTC above $108K, while surprises could swing prices 5-10%. Stablecoin regulation and Bitcoin reserves add tailwinds, but macro uncertainty keeps traders on edge.

Risk Disclaimer

FOMC meetings often spark volatility. Leverage traders risk liquidations, and sudden policy shifts could trigger sharp corrections. Always DYOR and manage risk carefully.

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